Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.243775 0.290424 0.342723 0.405575 0.478927 0.561692 0.662016
2025-02-16 0.170693 0.229352 0.302516 0.399941 0.525663 0.681769 0.889535
2025-02-23 0.127648 0.187837 0.269149 0.385940 0.548084 0.763714 1.070341
2025-03-02 0.097941 0.155759 0.239336 0.367246 0.555919 0.821345 1.219619
2025-03-09 0.084242 0.143138 0.233292 0.378813 0.604538 0.937140 1.458609
2025-03-16 0.068204 0.123488 0.212869 0.364597 0.611332 0.990907 1.610682
2025-03-23 0.059967 0.114851 0.207957 0.373118 0.652909 1.099600 1.854729
2025-03-30 0.052889 0.106822 0.202542 0.379459 0.690751 1.205010 2.102465
2025-04-06 0.045495 0.096814 0.192014 0.375133 0.709358 1.279909 2.306325
2025-04-13 0.039453 0.088270 0.182734 0.371448 0.727984 1.355626 2.517221
2025-04-20 0.036145 0.084618 0.182042 0.383378 0.775617 1.485149 2.831513
2025-04-27 0.035671 0.086824 0.193034 0.418948 0.870676 1.706789 3.327018
2025-05-04 0.032799 0.083533 0.192911 0.433429 0.928919 1.870377 3.738840
2025-05-11 0.028607 0.076497 0.183997 0.428910 0.949667 1.966868 4.036974
2025-05-18 0.024276 0.068251 0.171113 0.414044 0.947349 2.018395 4.253527
2025-05-25 0.020292 0.060022 0.156898 0.394098 0.931671 2.041453 4.415639
2025-06-01 0.018810 0.058021 0.156955 0.406443 0.986699 2.211627 4.885161
2025-06-08 0.016025 0.051876 0.145943 0.391271 0.978867 2.250956 5.090748
2025-06-15 0.014800 0.049901 0.145076 0.400365 1.026939 2.412017 5.562114
2025-06-22 0.013594 0.047736 0.143377 0.407132 1.070224 2.566303 6.031264
2025-06-29 0.012064 0.044239 0.137544 0.402516 1.085724 2.660599 6.378031
2025-07-06 0.010746 0.041123 0.132258 0.398583 1.102359 2.758665 6.740682
2025-07-13 0.010127 0.040203 0.133105 0.411314 1.162024 2.960159 7.350725